Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.China, with the largest plantation area in the world, has become the country with the greatest contribution to greening in the world. In the past 30 years since the signing of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification, China has made remarkable achievements in combating desertification, especially since last June, China has launched the "Three North" project. At present, the forest coverage rate in the "Three North" project area has increased from 5% in the 1970s to 13.84%. By the end of 2023, the forest coverage rate in China exceeded 25%, the forest stock exceeded 20 billion cubic meters, and the plantation area ranked first in the world, making it the most green country in the world. (CCTV News)The net outflow of the main market exceeded 10 billion.
Hebai Group: With the help of policy dividends, it will further stimulate new consumer demand and help the company's sales promotion. Hebai Group (000417) said on the interactive platform on December 13th that the company's top 100 electrical appliances actively grasped the new round of "trade-in" policy opportunity, adhered to "policy+activity" to stimulate new consumption potential, and quickly launched more than 33,000 subsidized goods in 8 categories of household appliances and 24 categories of smart homes. Since the implementation of the national subsidy policy in 2024, there have been more than 100,000 rejuvenation machines in stores in Anhui Province, with sales exceeding 400 million yuan, and the sales of household appliances in stores increased by 121% year-on-year. In the next step, the company will seize the time window, continue to integrate resources, closely focus on the national subsidy policy for household appliances in Anhui Province and Hefei consumer vouchers, and further stimulate new consumer demand with the help of policy dividends to help the company's sales increase.FTSE China A50 index futures opened 0.80% lower, and closed down 0.89% in the last session.The retail sector continued its upward trend of Zhongbai Group for 10 days and 7 boards, and the retail sector continued its upward trend. Zhongbai Group for 10 days and 7 boards, Maoye Commercial and Actually Zhijia had daily limit, and Guangbai shares, Dashang shares, Central Shopping Mall and Hongqi Chain opened higher collectively.
Guojin Securities: The warm wind of medical policy comes first, then the progress of innovation going out to sea, and then the opportunity of performance reversal. Guojin Securities Research Report said that the core investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical sector in 25 years will revolve around three logics: 1) innovation going out to sea; 2) demand recovery; 3) Policy expectation reversal. At present, the policy warm wind comes first (the medical track policy continues to warm up, and the overall industry expectation is expected to be optimistic); Then, R&D and innovation will go to sea (innovative drug track will continue to make progress, and it will still be the hottest track in the pharmaceutical sector in 2025, especially it is recommended to pay attention to the clinical data reading and commercialization progress of the first-line target, as well as the fluctuation opportunity of the expected difference of the second-line innovative drugs), and then the performance growth rate is expected to bottom out in the first half of 2025 (but it will take time for this improvement in performance growth rate to come. Considering the current industry communication and historical base, it is expected that 4Q24 and 1Q25 should still be cautiously optimistic.)Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.The three major stock indexes opened lower and went lower. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index all fell more than 1%, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.88%.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13